Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.007096 0.008236 0.009579 0.011302 0.013485 0.016203 0.019919
2025-10-19 0.005514 0.006856 0.008605 0.011123 0.014786 0.020152 0.029110
2025-10-26 0.004710 0.006128 0.008104 0.011193 0.016182 0.024520 0.041174
2025-11-02 0.004096 0.005501 0.007556 0.010974 0.016961 0.028127 0.054362
2025-11-09 0.003557 0.004883 0.006891 0.010381 0.016880 0.030090 0.065712
2025-11-16 0.003165 0.004427 0.006393 0.009945 0.016928 0.032307 0.079893
2025-11-23 0.002958 0.004224 0.006262 0.010110 0.018181 0.037817 0.110921
2025-11-30 0.002726 0.003952 0.005976 0.009926 0.018642 0.041641 0.142629
2025-12-07 0.002502 0.003671 0.005635 0.009573 0.018622 0.044172 0.174377
2025-12-14 0.002340 0.003475 0.005421 0.009433 0.019070 0.048442 0.228075
2025-12-21 0.002263 0.003415 0.005443 0.009785 0.020868 0.058578 0.368566
2025-12-28 0.002214 0.003396 0.005535 0.010305 0.023322 0.073689 0.698057
2026-01-04 0.002119 0.003300 0.005491 0.010562 0.025323 0.090486 1.460676
2026-01-11 0.001990 0.003133 0.005289 0.010420 0.026091 0.102861 2.867014
2026-01-18 0.001895 0.003019 0.005181 0.010485 0.027610 0.122880 8.662194
2026-01-25 0.001787 0.002869 0.004983 0.010285 0.028119 0.137749 30.109963
2026-02-01 0.001660 0.002676 0.004675 0.009743 0.027145 0.139815 75.128362
2026-02-08 0.001556 0.002521 0.004433 0.009343 0.026616 0.145672 499.802463
2026-02-15 0.001505 0.002463 0.004394 0.009494 0.028428 0.179568 NaN
2026-02-22 0.001435 0.002362 0.004251 0.009326 0.028817 0.200449 NaN
2026-03-01 0.001358 0.002245 0.004063 0.009002 0.028392 0.210849 NaN
2026-03-08 0.001302 0.002163 0.003948 0.008873 0.028858 0.237310 NaN
2026-03-15 0.001279 0.002148 0.003981 0.009196 0.031745 0.323383 NaN